With the Trump euphoria pushing the broader markets to new all-time highs, it has impacted precious metals demand considerably… especially in February. Precious metals investors believing the White House “Grandiose plans”, of making American great again, have cut back seriously on their precious metals buying.
There seems to be a percentage of the alternative community that believe Trump will actually put the U.S. back to the way it was in the 1960’s. And that is, back to a manufacturing powerhouse with high-paying jobs. While this would be a wonderful thing to do, the disintegrating ENERGY situation in the future just won’t allow it to happen.
IT WAS A ONE-TIME DEAL, and that period has come and gone…. FOREVER
Regardless, Western demand for precious metals declined considerably in February versus the same month last year. I used to spend more time publishing articles on gold and silver demand, but have refocused my analysis on how energy will impact the precious metals, mining and the overall economy.
However, Louis at Smaulgld.com does an excellent job publishing articles on precious metals demand. So, I have used some of his data and one of his charts.
As I stated above, the Trump market euphoria has taken the wind out of precious metals buying recently. According to the data from Smaulgld.com and the U.S. Mint, sales of gold and silver have plummeted in the West (especially USA), but surged in the East:
As we can see, Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals surged 67% in February versus the same month last year, while Perth Mint silver sales declined 17%, Perth Mint Gold sales dropped 32%, U.S. Gold Eagles fell 67% and Silver Eagle sales plummeted 75%.
According to Louis’s article, Shanghai Gold Exchange February Withdrawals Highest On Record, he published the following chart:
Chinese Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals were 179 metric tons (mt) in February compared 107 the same month last year. Gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange are a pretty good proxy for the physical metal demand taking place in China. We must remember, global monthly gold mine supply is approximately 265 mt. Which means, Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals of 179 mt accounted for two-thirds of global gold monthly mine supply. That’s a heck of a lot of demand… from just one country.
If we tally up the decline in U.S. Gold Eagle and Perth Mint gold coin sales in February versus last year, they equaled 67,806 oz. However, Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals increased 2,315,000 oz in February compared to the same month last year. So, we can clearly see that the increase in just Chinese demand, via the Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals, more than made up for the decline in Western retail official cold coin purchases.
Unfortunately, the Royal Canadian Mint does not publish their Gold or Silver Maple Leaf sales until the end of each quarter.